Category Archives: Tim's Blog

Taking a World View

Tim Hermes, BGR CEO

Tim Hermes, BGR CEO

Can it be True? Well, can it?

A press release hit my in-box March 1 where UK-based STB provider PACE announced it was now the second largest set-top provider in the world. Wow. I woulda never guessed it because in my usual way of thinking, if its not used primarily in a US system it must be, well, riding the bench for a reason. Oh, how wrong I can be. It’s interesting to see PACE do so well and I am happy for them. Knowing many of the PACE US guys I can tell you no group of employees works harder, so I am sure that is reflected across the pond.

Which leads me to the bigger point. When it comes to US cable TV, what I see in systems is pretty much red-white-and-blue. I think its cool that our industry seems to conscientiously go “America First” when it comes to buying gear for their systems. Certainly, if you look at BGR’s ad roster, nearly all of our sponsors are American companies.

But it also tells me how myopic we can be. The world doesn’t end at the US borders. In fact I was pleasantly reminded of that this week at the SCTE’s Canadian Summit when I saw some great technology from up North and met the technologists and engineers that created it. (Side note: The Canadians are THE nicest people on earth.)

The bottom line? Its a big world, Sparky. PACE has looked beyond our borders for their growth. They’ve done some nifty maneuvering and partnering here in the states to develop a solid revenue stream, and developed technology operators abroad want. My take-away from this little lesson? There’s still a big piece of the pie out there for US vendors. There’s only 300 million or so Americans. But there are BILLIONS of people on this rock we share.

And many of them have cable.

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V+V+D =$

Tim Hermes, BGR CEO

Tim Hermes, BGR CEO

There’s gotta be a formula. Somewhere some big-brain types are hunched over statistical software crunching numbers on the Big Question – and one that I, frankly, probably have wrong.

If I understand correctly cable operators get their revenue in two key ways – subscriber revenue through monthly service fees, and local and online ad revenue (my provider does an excellent job on their portal and is my default page for news, information and all things Britney – and I often click on the Expedia ads to see the latest $100 flights).

The big question? Which of the triple play services has the highest profit margin. Not top-line, as I am sure video has that because of tiered sales and ad revenue. I’m talking pure margin percentage – costs vs. revenue. Voice? Video? Or data? Here at the Hermes Compound, we have triple play from one of the Big Boys. And a glance at my latest bill shows an even split between TV and voice of about $62 and about 20 bucks higher split for internet, however we have two modems serving the office and the outside Man-Cave my son has dubbed “the Fort,” so internet is really about 20 bills less.

So…where’s the highest margin? While I doubt an op will come right out and say it, I am going with Internet service. Hey, the net is free. People want speed, and are willing to pay for it. Opening the pipe up can’t be too hard if you have the right gear for it, and as long as the coax in the home is sound and delivering. Now the downside of course is the back-end support help but with practically every state-level university cranking out IT grads like a 1920’s Henry Ford assembly line, my guess is that the average age – and salary – of the local cable troubleshooter answering the phone once you go through the 30 prompts is probably one-sixth their IQ. These are smart kids, and every time I have had an issue they have gotten to the bottom of it. And if not, the outsourced Indian contingent can usually nail it.

Now phone? Basically the same thing. However it seems phone problems require more truck rolls and aren’t as often serviced over the phone but in person. That’s gotta add up in man-hours, insurance, overtime, fleet upkeep. But the add-on features – call waiting, caller ID, additional lines, enhanced voice mail…all set up at the touch of a button also create a recurring line item on the invoice. And while I still can’t figure out how to delete a voice mail without listening all the way through the call, I’m pretty happy with my voice service too and will keep using it.

So where are the bucks being made? Which of the Triple Play is really “Triple Pay?”

The answer is, probably, all three. The guys running these systems are uber-smart for the most part and had this knocked years ago. Me? I’m just barely keeping up. But it’s fun to think about,. And for the record? I’m guessing “internet.”

Tim Hermes is CEO at Broadband Gear Report. Email him at timhermes@comcast.net.

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3DTV and Me (and you, and whoever else has it)

Tim Hermes, BGR CEO

Tim Hermes, BGR CEO

Car keys. That’s what I think about when I think of 3DTV.

Go with me on this.

I can NEVER find my car keys (or phone, or wallet, or sunglasses) when i need them. It’s a source of constant embarrassment for me. How can a silly little piece of metal ruin my day so often? Doesn’t matter…it does. And when it does, it can really stink. And I can’t help but think about car keys when I think about the hoopla around 3DTV. 3DTV is going to happen – and pretty quick. As soon as the compression issues get smoothed out (no pun intended) the STBs can handle it, and the bandwidth gets cranked up to accept 1080p60, then I’m sure the trials will start to roll. And Quixel says a solid majority of cable consumers wants 3D channels through their systems. Me too, if…

…I can find my 3D glasses.

Imagine it’s 2012. You’re a family of four and you’re ready to watch Avatar 2 in 3D on pay-per-view through your local provider. Now the popcorn is ready, everyone’s in their favorite seat, and you realize you are missing a pair of 3D glasses so only three of the four of you can see the 3D . Where can you get more? Will your provider be mailing you an extra pair or two every month with your invoice, that you carefully nest in a drawer by the phone next to the magnets for the vet and the Chinese menus? Will the 7-11 around the corner have them on sale for $.99/each?

Here’s the thing…if my entire “viewing group” can’t get the whole 3D experience because we are missing a pair of 3D glasses probably made for eleven cents in China, I can pretty much guarantee we’ll rent a different 2D movie everyone can enjoy. And the way my household misplaces things like hats, gloves, remotes, and offspring, losing a pair or two of 3D glasses can easily mean us putting “Pirates of the Caribbean 8 – Return to Cleveland” into the DVD player. This could really be a big deal-breaker for a lot of consumers. So full-time 3D channels, that bank on ad revenue or premium -tier revenue need to start thinking this through – will the “aftermarket” take care of this – like so many companies have done capitalizing on the iPhone accessory craze? Doubtful. This is a commodity buy…but the bottom line is that until this very-real issue gets resolved so the system is delivering the gear – both for the TV and for your eyes – 3DTV will still be a few years away.

Tim Hermes is CEO at Broadband Gear Report. Email him at timhermes@comcast.net.

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OK, There IS a Difference

Tim Hermes, BGR CEO

Tim Hermes, BGR CEO

The winter blues. Never had em so bad after the winter we have had here in DC. So last weekend I grabbed the wife, kid and pot-roast-with toenails we call our bulldog London and headed south to our little beach place that we had used our son’s college savings to afford. ANYTHING and I mean ANYTHING to get away from the snow. If we didn’t, there may have been a few shallow graves in the backyard.

I had it all set up in my mind. Lots of running, sleep late, and watch the Olympics over the long weekend. Maybe it was a blessing in disguise that my cable was out. After all I heard about the horrible luge incident and mercifully was spared the live broadcast. So I picked up the phone (cable triple play) to call my local provider and of course that was out too. Internet access? Toast.

The hell with it. I took the cable out of the STB, ran it into the TV and got a few channels  although the signal died completely intermittently. And I GOTTA watch my Spongebob! I have based my life on his teachings! Granted, this is a tough-weather area prone to hurricanes, salt corrosion, rain and wind. Gotta be a tough locale to run an op. However I remember the day we had the install done and the contractor had to leave for two hours because “he forgot his tools.” I saw at least four outdoor enclosures that had been struck by vehicles that were listing, exposing their protected equipment to the elements.

And when I got home? I had a letter from said provider saying my bill was over-due. Funny, I paid that a month ago by auto-pay from my bank, and they cashed the check. $80 bucks to pay a bill for a service I hadn’t used and when I needed it it didn’t work.

So for this cable-ista, the front end and the back end of this local op doesn’t get very high marks. My guess is that many local cable companies still have a way to go on reliability, service, and billing. But I take great confidence that cable’s willingness to improve, put the customer first, and deliver fast reliable service. I’m still a believer.

And we still had a great long weekend.

Tim Hermes is CEO at Broadband Gear Report. Email him at timhermes@comcast.net.

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Super Bowl – I Won’t Get Fooled Again

Ouch. As a music lover, sometimes its hard to admit when a band needs to pack it in. But following the show by half of the Who that is still alive during the Super Bowl halftime (congrats Saints,) I ALMOST wanted to throw the remote through the TV. Now THAT would have been a cool blog – can a plasma screen TV withstand the impact of a four-ounce cable remote? (Speaking of destroying stuff – side note to Pete Townsend – go back to Les Pauls and Marshalls, buddy, that Fender sound is too thin for a single-guitar band.)

So how did my system perform for the big game? Well I ran a test.

1. Kept all TVs on
2. Used my wireless network the whole game
3. As did my son
4. Talked to my Mom during the game for an hour on the landline
5. Watched some Jon Stewart during commercials on the DVR
6. Used my iPhone on the wireless network to update Facebook

Now this might seem run-of-the-mill. But factor this in. Friday and Saturday we had 3 FEET OF SNOW. The heavy wet stuff, not the fluffy pow-pow you Coloradans get. This was cloud-mush that weighed down the utility lines and put 59,000 of my fellow Arlingtonians out of power for several days. Now of course no power means no modem, set-top or TV, which means no service. But in the areas that had power I have not heard of a SINGLE outage due to a fallen cable line. Inside, my ARRIS, CISCO (nee S-A) and Signal Vision gear delivered the goods inside the home. But more importantly all the OSP stuff seemed to prevail as well. All those closures, trunk and feeder cable (shout-out to CommScope who supplies my ‘hood,) amplifiers (MOTOROLA nee GI) et al weathered the storm beautifully. Hey I even made a fake 911 call just to see if I could get through. OK that’s not true.

So, hat’s off to you cable. You played a perfect game.

P.S Note to Jim Caldwell , coach of the Colts: playing a soft-zone defense agains the most accurate arm in the NFC is suicide. You had that game. Better luck next year.

Tim Hermes is CEO at Broadband Gear Report. Email him at timhermes@comcast.net.

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Just Why Are Those Trucks Rolling?

Sitting here in the office looking out at the street in my little Northern Virginia town – despite being three miles from the nations capital and all the attendant hubbub – not a heck of a lot happens here. In fact the most exciting thing I’ve ever witnessed from my home-office window is the time the neighbor across the street had a tree taken down and a horned owl flew out of it and landed on my roof.

And that was five years ago.

So what do I end up doing when day-dreaming (not that I ever do) while I watch my little neighbor go through its daily machinations? I count white vans. Namely the ones from my local cable provider and that of “the Big V.” Don’t laugh, it’s fun. At least for me. Especially when I see a lot more Big V vans on my street and notice they are spending a LOT more time at the homes they are parked in front of. But are they doing installs, or repairs? Ahhh, that was the big question…until of course I started reading my local neighborhood chat-room posts. And of course when I noticed that these vans from Big V tended to be parked in front of the same houses two, even three times in the span of a few weeks. (As a runner I tend to take the same routes when I run so I notice this stuff.)

Wow. That gave me a clear answer. Big V is rolling a LOT of trucks. The fact that my friend Pat, who switched to Big V in 2007, threw up his hands in frustration and told me he was switching back to cable also gave me a hint.

Meanwhile my happy cable triple-play connection hums along. My phone line always works (ok my son unplugged the modem for his Wii once.) My internet speed is crazy-fast. My picture is always clear, and most importantly I am pretty much guaranteed I’ll have a perfect picture at 6:30 PM Sunday for the Big Game. Now, Saints or Colts? Gotta stay neutral…BGR has advertisers and subscribers in both areas. But let’s hope for a great game won by a field goal in overtime.

Thanks to my provider, I am pretty much guaranteed I’ll see the game.

Tim Hermes is CEO at Broadband Gear Report. Email him at timhermes@comcast.net.

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From Tim Hermes, CEO, BGR

Happy New Year! Let’s hope 2010 proves to be a breakout year for cable and its huge advantages in delivering voice data and video. Our mission here at BGR is to be your two-minute weekly update on the newest technologies and products to help you deploy the best system possible. We’d like to hear your feedback on how we are doing. So, let us know but answering our nine-question survey. All respondees will be entered to win a gift certificate for an iPhone 3Gs! Click here to take our survey and we look forward to seeing your responses!

Click here to take survey

Tim Hermes is CEO at Broadband Gear Report. Email him at timhermes@comcast.net.

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